Virtual Power Purchase Agreements (VPPAs)

Virtual Power Purchase Agreements (VPPAs) with Alberta Renewable Energy & Energy Storage Projects

Virtual Power Purchase Agreement

Why Enter Into a Virtual Power Purchase Agreement and Who Can Do It?

Virtual Power Purchase Agreements (VPPAs) are a transaction structure that provide corporations the opportunity to profitably reduce their net carbon emissions and future electricity price exposure without incurring any upfront capital expenditures. As of January 2026, the 24×7 forward electricity price in Alberta for the years 2027-2031 was $77/MWh, and the market price of a carbon offset in Alberta’s TIER market was $40/tonne. As a result, entering into a well-structured virtual power purchase agreement with a cost-effective and strategically located project in Alberta can provide corporations with a profit on the transaction.

Since 2017, corporations have entered into virtual power purchase agreements with renewable energy and energy storage projects in Alberta in order to:

1)    Meet government-mandated carbon compliance obligations (such as the Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction Regulation in Alberta);

2)    Offset hard-to-abate carbon emissions and achieve voluntary net carbon emissions reduction targets and meet ESG goals; and,

3)    Hedge their long-term exposure to rising Alberta electricity and Canadian-carbon commodity prices.

What is a Virtual Power Purchase Agreement and How Does a Virtual Power Purchase Agreement Work?

A power purchase agreement is an agreement to pay an electricity generator a predetermined price for each unit of electricity that the project generates. In return for this payment, the power purchase agreement Buyer receives either the physical delivery of the electricity (physical PPA) or the market price of that electricity received by the electricity generator (virtual PPA), along with the associated carbon offsets.

Thus, when the market price is higher than the predetermined price at which the electricity will be purchased, the PPA Buyer gets paid (or achieves electricity cost savings) and receives the carbon offsets. However, when the market price is lower than the predetermined price at which the electricity will be purchased, the PPA Buyer will pay the difference to the electricity generator (while still receiving the carbon offsets).

How Is It Possible To Make Money And Achieve Carbon Emissions Reductions?

In a virtual Power Purchase Agreement, the Buyer will receive the market electricity revenue and the value of the carbon offsets in exchange for a predetermined cost per unit of electricity.

Thus, if the market electricity revenue is higher than the predetermined cost per unit of electricity, the PPA Buyer gets paid while also achieving carbon emissions reductions.

The three main factors driving the economics of virtual Power Purchase Agreements with wind and solar power generation projects in Alberta are: the cost of wind and solar energy system generation, electricity market prices, and carbon market prices. In slight divergence, the three main factors driving the economics of virtual Power Purchase Agreements with energy storage projects in Alberta are: the cost of building and connecting the energy storage project, the volatility of electricity and ancillary service market prices, and the location of the project. 

The 2025 Levelized Cost of Energy Report published by Lazard on the levelized cost of electricity noted that the cost of solar and wind electricity generation had dropped by 76% and 50% respectively between 2010 and 2025. As a result, wind and solar energy project developers are able to profitably enter into power purchase agreements below the forecasted market price of electricity in Alberta.

For example, the Government of Alberta announced that they entered into a virtual power purchase agreement to pay an average fixed price of $48.05/MWh to three solar projects, and prices that ranged between $30.90 and $43.30/MWh to ten wind projects.

While other virtual power purchase agreement contracts have not been publicly disclosed, it is likely that these prices currently represent the lowest virtual power purchase agreement prices for solar power and wind projects in Alberta, as the government is a counterparty with a very high credit rating and ran a highly competitive auction process.

Historical Alberta Electricity Prices

To put the above-listed virtual power purchase agreement contract prices into context, the average all-hour electricity price in Alberta from the start of 2000 through until the end of 2025 was $68/MWh, with current forward curves and widely used long-term market forecasts projecting prices to remain above the current cost of renewable energy generation.

Alberta Carbon Price

Additionally, the federal government has announced that it will be raising the carbon price $15/year from the current price of $95/tonne in January 2026 to $170/tonne in 2030. This increase will see the value of the carbon emissions reductions rising at a compound annual rate of ~15% per year, further enhancing the value to the PPA Buyer.

Alberta Canada Power Purchase Agreement Deal Tracker

Virtual power purchase agreements with utility-scale wind and solar energy generation projects in Alberta experienced a rapid increase in 2021 and 2022. To put it into perspective, the installed generation capacity of utility-scale wind and solar energy projects in Alberta that entered into PPAs with private corporations alone increased by over 6x in 2021 in comparison to 2020.

And in 2022, Lafarge, Pembina Pipeline, Shopify, RBC, Bullfrog Power, Scotiabank, Microsoft, MEGlobal, Pembina Pipeline, and the City of Edmonton all signed PPAs with wind and solar energy projects in Alberta totaling 650MW of AC renewable energy generation capacity.

How To Source A PPA and Maximize the Value of Your Contract?

Each wind and solar energy project will have different economics based on variables such as the interconnection costs, project size, cost-effectiveness of the project design, and procurement and construction costs.

Furthermore, some project owners have a higher cost of capital and return expectation than others, driving up the rate at which they are willing to transact under a virtual power purchase agreement.

While the headline price at which the electricity is purchased often gets the most attention, other aspects that can have a greater impact on the value of the virtual power purcahse agreement contract to the VPPA Buyer include: the timeline to project completion, the electricity generation profile of the project, the electricity generation profile of the customer (for Alberta based load), the location of the project, the date at which the project reaches commercial operation, and the allocation of risk and guarantees provided within the contract itself.

In order to maximize the value of a Virtual Power Purchase Agreement contract, VPPA Buyers should:

1) Aggregate with other buyers to increase their purchasing power and transact with larger projects that benefit from economies of scale pricing;

2) Screen projects for development status and project risks;

3) Screen projects for locational congestion and pricing risk;

4) Run a competitive process to evaluate multiple offers;

5) Conduct financial modelling to quantify the value and risk associated with each offer; and

6) Negotiate a contract that properly allocates the risk.

To summarize, while price is an important aspect of a virtual power purchase agreement, it isn’t the only item that matters. Simply put, price is what you pay, value is what you get.

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